Virtus vs Dila 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Virtus vs Dila stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Virtus

Dila

10

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

The match between Virtus and Dila ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Dila win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Virtus vs Dila — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dila to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Dila ahead at half-time.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 532 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Virtus Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Virtus 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Dila Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dila 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Dila 2+ goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Virtus vs Dila 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Virtus vs Dila. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
VirtusVirtus1
DilaDila0

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

132%
X26%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Virtus34%66%67%33%
Dila27%73%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Virtus88%12%96%4%
Dila82%18%94%6%

1st Half

127%
X45%
228%

1st Score

147%
X7%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

20%

X-X

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

14%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

0-1

9.9%

1-0

8.5%

1-2

8.4%

0-0

7.5%

2-1

7.2%

0-2

6.8%

2-0

5.3%

2-2

5.2%

1-3

4.1%

0-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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