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Neftçi vs Dinamo Minsk 2-4 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 2nd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Neftçi vs Dinamo Minsk stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Dinamo Minsk had clearly more shots on target
Neftçi
Dinamo Minsk
5
Shots on target
8
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
1
Neftçi vs Dinamo Minsk — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Neftçi to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Neftçi 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Dinamo Minsk 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Neftçi vs Dinamo Minsk 2-4 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Neftçi vs Dinamo Minsk. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Neftçi2
Dinamo Minsk4Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Neftçi2Dinamo Minsk4Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
 | 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
20%
2-2
20%
X-X
18%
X-1
15%
X-2
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score