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Inter Turku vs İstanbul Başakşehir 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 2nd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Inter Turku2–0
İstanbul BaşakşehirOn these chances Inter Turku would usually take 1.8 points and İstanbul Başakşehir 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: İstanbul Başakşehir.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Inter Turku vs İstanbul Başakşehir stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Inter Turku had more than twice the shots on target
Inter Turku
İstanbul Başakşehir
7
Shots on target
1
3
Big chances
0
1
Corners
8
2
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
43%
Possession
57%
Inter Turku vs İstanbul Başakşehir — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Inter Turku to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: İstanbul Başakşehir to win.
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,733 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Inter Turku ahead at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).
Our model’s pick
Inter Turku 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
İstanbul Başakşehir 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: İstanbul Başakşehir 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Inter Turku vs İstanbul Başakşehir 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Inter Turku vs İstanbul Başakşehir. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Inter Turku2
İstanbul Başakşehir0Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Inter Turku2İstanbul Başakşehir0Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
| 31% | 69% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
2-2
19%
X-1
15%
X-X
13%
X-2
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score