Apollon vs Brann 2-4 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Apollon vs Brann stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Apollon had clearly more shots on target

Apollon

Brann

9

Shots on target

6

9

Corners

1

3

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

The match between Apollon and Brann ended 2-4. Our AI model predicted a Apollon win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kauno Žalgiris – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Apollon vs Brann — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Apollon to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Apollon Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Apollon 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Brann Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Apollon vs Brann 2-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Apollon vs Brann. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
ApollonApollon2
BrannBrann4

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

140%
X24%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Apollon26%74%55%45%
Brann28%72%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Apollon79%21%92%8%
Brann81%19%93%7%

1st Half

134%
X40%
226%

1st Score

150%
X5%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

20%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

2-1

8.8%

1-2

8.0%

1-0

7.2%

0-1

6.7%

2-2

6.5%

2-0

5.5%

0-2

5.0%

0-0

4.7%

3-1

4.3%

1-3

3.9%

3-0

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kauno Žalgiris – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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