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Rīgas FS vs Jablonec 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Rīgas FS vs Jablonec stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Rīgas FS had more than twice the shots on target
Rīgas FS
Jablonec
8
Shots on target
2
4
Corners
5
4
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
Rīgas FS vs Jablonec — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Rīgas FS to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Rīgas FS 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Rīgas FS 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Jablonec 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Rīgas FS vs Jablonec 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rīgas FS vs Jablonec. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Rīgas FS1
Jablonec2Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Rīgas FS1Jablonec2Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14% | 86% | 38% | 62% |
 | 49% | 51% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63% | 37% | 82% | 18% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
48%
X-1
20%
X-X
9%
2-2
7%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score