Brann vs PAOK 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Brann vs PAOK stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Brann had clearly more shots on target

Brann

PAOK

9

Shots on target

6

12

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

6

The match between Brann and PAOK ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Brann win with 45% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kauno Žalgiris – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Brann vs PAOK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann to win

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Brann Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Brann 0–1 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

PAOK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PAOK 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Brann vs PAOK 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Brann vs PAOK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
BrannBrann3
PAOKPAOK2

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

145%
X22%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%34%66%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Brann23%77%49%51%
PAOK31%69%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Brann74%27%89%11%
PAOK81%19%92%8%

1st Half

135%
X41%
224%

1st Score

155%
X4%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

18%

X-1

17%

X-X

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.0%

2-1

9.0%

1-2

7.3%

1-0

6.7%

2-2

6.4%

2-0

5.4%

0-1

5.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

4.0%

0-0

4.0%

3-2

4.0%

0-2

3.8%

1-3

3.7%

2-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kauno Žalgiris – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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