Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Crvena Zvezda to win
Our track record
In 3,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,025 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Lugano 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.2%).
Our model’s pick
Crvena Zvezda 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 873 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Lugano–
Crvena Zvezda–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Lugano–Crvena Zvezda–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 62% | 38% |
 | 23% | 77% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
33%
1-1
15%
X-2
15%
X-X
13%
X-1
10%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LuganoBoth Teams to Score
LuganoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LuganoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LuganoFirst Half Result
LuganoCorrect Score
Lugano