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  4. Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

Fair result
BrannBrann

2–1

Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps
2.3Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Brann would usually take 2.3 points and Lincoln Red Imps 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Brann.

Brann +0.7 pts vs chancesLincoln Red Imps −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Brann had more than twice the shots on target

Brann

Lincoln Red Imps

10

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

1

17

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

1

1

Red cards

1

72%

Possession

28%

The match between Brann and Lincoln Red Imps ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Brann win with 55% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann to win

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 187 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Brann Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Lincoln Red Imps Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lincoln Red Imps 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 3,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Europa Conference League - Europe
BrannBrann2
Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps1

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

2-1 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 58%

Full Time

155%
X20%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%33%67%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT42%58%68%32%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Brann17%83%41%59%
Lincoln Red Imps38%62%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Brann65%35%83%17%
Lincoln Red Imps85%15%94%6%

1st Half

146%
X30%
224%

1st Score

158%
X3%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

2-2

18%

X-1

13%

X-X

10%

X-2

9%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

2-1

8.3%

1-1

8.3%

1-0

7.1%

3-1

6.9%

2-0

6.9%

2-2

5.9%

1-2

5.3%

3-0

4.9%

3-2

4.7%

0-1

4.3%

1-3

3.3%

0-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

BrannBrann
3/5
Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps
2/4

Both Teams to Score

BrannBrann
5/5
Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps
3/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

BrannBrann
4/5
Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps
4/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

BrannBrann
2/5
Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps
3/4

First Half Result

BrannBrann
1/5
Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps
2/4

Correct Score

BrannBrann
2/5
Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps
1/4
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).

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