Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Quarter-finals (Knock Out)
Manchester City vs Liverpool — FA Cup Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Quarter-finals
Full-Time Result →
+128.8% Strongly above implied probability
+128.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43.7% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
+23.7% Strongly above implied probability
-38.2% Below implied probability
┊ 53.9% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
+86.6% Strongly above implied probability
+24.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
-46.6% Below implied probability
-46.6% Below implied probability
┊ 62.4% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
+72.4% Strongly above implied probability
+158.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.7% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Manchester City and Liverpool across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Manchester City hit at 100% accuracy — that's 158.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Liverpool sit 46.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Manchester City vs Liverpool Match Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Manchester City vs Liverpool. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 47% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
| 1 | 37% | |
| X | 39% | |
| 2 | 24% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 5% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 17% | 5% | 10% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 13% | 3% |
| 1 | 55% | |
| X | 5% | |
| 2 | 40% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% | |
| 35% | 65% | 66% | 34% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 47% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
| 1 | 37% | |
| X | 39% | |
| 2 | 24% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 5% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 17% | 5% | 10% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 13% | 3% |
| 1 | 55% | |
| X | 5% | |
| 2 | 40% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% | |
| 35% | 65% | 66% | 34% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Manchester City vs Liverpool — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Liverpool well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.