FA Cup Predictions & Stats
The FA Cup is the oldest football competition in the world, dating back to 1871. It's renowned for its tradition and unpredictability, with lower-league teams often causing upsets against their more illustrious opponents. The FA Cup final is one of the most-watched domestic football events globally. The trophy awarded to the FA Cup winners, known as the 'FA Cup Trophy' or 'The Cup,' is one of the most iconic in football.
FA Cup Predictions by Market
Season 2025/2026 · Final
Full-Time Result
55.2%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
42.8% Implied Probability
+29% Strongly above implied probability
Both Teams To Score
67.2%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
54.2% Implied Probability
+24% Strongly above implied probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
64.2%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
53.8% Implied Probability
+19.3% Strongly above implied probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
52.2%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
61.1% Implied Probability
-14.6% Below implied probability
First Half Result
40%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
37.9% Implied Probability
+5.5% Above implied probability
Correct Score
15%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes FA Cup matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for FA Cup currently hit at 15%.
Full-Time Result is our strongest FA Cup betting market this season with 55% prediction accuracy — that's 29% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 42.8%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Full-Time Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in FA Cup.
On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions currently sit 14.6% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 52%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for FA Cup Over/Under 3.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven FA Cup football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for FA Cup England
| 1 | 30% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 48% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 34% | 66% | 65% | 35% |
| Manchester City | 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 41% | 59% | 54% | 46% |
| 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| 1 | 30% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 48% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 65% | 35% |
 | 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 41% | 59% | 54% | 46% |
| 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FA Cup Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every FA Cup betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Manchester City leads Full-Time Result predictions with 100% accuracy (5 correct out of 5 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Full-Time Result are especially worth watching for your next FA Cup bet.
FA Cup Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Manchester City
ChelseaPrediction Form Streaks
Manchester CityChelseaFA Cup Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Manchester CityChelseaPrediction Form Streaks
Manchester CityChelseaFA Cup Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Manchester CityChelseaPrediction Form Streaks
Manchester CityChelseaFA Cup Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Manchester CityChelseaPrediction Form Streaks
Manchester CityChelseaFA Cup First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Manchester CityChelseaPrediction Form Streaks
ChelseaManchester City