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Chelsea vs Leeds United

Chelsea vs Leeds United 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

FA Cup - Season 2025/2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)

The match between Chelsea and Leeds United ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Chelsea win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Chelsea vs Leeds United — FA Cup Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Semi-finals

Full-Time Result →

Chelsea

100%(5/5)

+131.5% Strongly above implied probability

Leeds United

60%(3/5)

+38.9% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 43.2% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Chelsea

40%(2/5)

-26.1% Below implied probability

Leeds United

60%(3/5)

+10.9% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Chelsea

80%(4/5)

+49% Strongly above implied probability

Leeds United

40%(2/5)

-25.5% Below implied probability

┊ 53.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Chelsea

20%(1/5)

-67.3% Below implied probability

Leeds United

60%(3/5)

-2% Near implied probability

┊ 61.2% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Chelsea

75%(3/4)

+97.4% Strongly above implied probability

Leeds United

25%(1/4)

-34.2% Below implied probability

┊ 38% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Chelsea

0%(0/5)

Leeds United

20%(1/5)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Chelsea and Leeds United across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Chelsea hit at 100% accuracy — that's 131.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Chelsea sit 67.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Chelsea vs Leeds United 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Chelsea vs Leeds United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	42%
X	24%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	54%	47%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
24%	76%	54%	46%
30%	70%	61%	39%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	92%	8%
84%	16%	94%	6%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-0	0-2	3-1	0-0	1-3	3-2	3-0	2-3
10.9%	8.9%	7.8%	7.7%	6.7%	6.4%	6.2%	4.8%	4.8%	4.7%	3.7%	3.5%	3.4%	3.0%

Full Time


1	42%
X	24%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	54%	47%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
24%	76%	54%	46%
30%	70%	61%	39%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	92%	8%
84%	16%	94%	6%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-0
10.9%	8.9%	7.8%	7.7%	6.7%	6.4%	6.2%

Full Time


1	42%
X	24%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	54%	47%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
24%	76%	54%	46%
30%	70%	61%	39%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	92%	8%
84%	16%	94%	6%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-0	0-2	3-1	0-0	1-3	3-2	3-0	2-3
10.9%	8.9%	7.8%	7.7%	6.7%	6.4%	6.2%	4.8%	4.8%	4.7%	3.7%	3.5%	3.4%	3.0%

Full Time


1	42%
X	24%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	54%	47%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
24%	76%	54%	46%
30%	70%	61%	39%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	92%	8%
84%	16%	94%	6%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-0
10.9%	8.9%	7.8%	7.7%	6.7%	6.4%	6.2%

Chelsea

0 in a row

Leeds United

0 in a row