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Luxembourg vs Italy

Luxembourg vs Italy 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Friendly International - Season 2026 Friendlies 1 (Knock Out)

The match between Luxembourg and Italy ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Italy win with 65% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Luxembourg vs Italy — Friendly International Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Friendlies 1

Full-Time Result →

Italy

100%(2/2)

+96.1% Strongly above implied probability

Luxembourg

50%(1/2)

-2% Near implied probability

┊ 51% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Italy

50%(1/2)

-8.3% Near implied probability

Luxembourg

100%(2/2)

+83.5% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.5% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Italy

50%(1/2)

-8.6% Near implied probability

Luxembourg

100%(2/2)

+82.8% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Italy

100%(2/2)

+60.3% Strongly above implied probability

Luxembourg

100%(2/2)

+60.3% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 62.4% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Italy

0%(0/2)

-100% Below implied probability

Luxembourg

0%(0/2)

-100% Below implied probability

┊ 39.3% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Italy

50%(1/2)

Luxembourg

50%(1/2)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Luxembourg and Italy across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Italy hit at 100% accuracy — that's 96.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 51%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Italy sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Luxembourg vs Italy 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Luxembourg vs Italy. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	13%
X	22%
2	65%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	64%	36%	84%	16%

1st Half


1	13%
X	38%
2	49%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
7%	4%	6%
2-2	2-X	X-2
42%	5%	21%
1-2	X-X	2-1
3%	12%	1%

1st Score


1	20%
X	8%
2	71%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
56%	44%	86%	14%
16%	84%	46%	54%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
97%	3%	99%	1%
72%	28%	88%	12%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	0-3	1-3	1-0	2-2	2-1
15.1%	13.5%	10.0%	9.1%	8.2%	7.6%	5.7%	5.3%	3.3%	3.2%

Full Time


1	13%
X	22%
2	65%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	64%	36%	84%	16%

1st Half


1	13%
X	38%
2	49%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
7%	4%	6%
2-2	2-X	X-2
42%	5%	21%
1-2	X-X	2-1
3%	12%	1%

1st Score


1	20%
X	8%
2	71%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
56%	44%	86%	14%
16%	84%	46%	54%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
97%	3%	99%	1%
72%	28%	88%	12%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	0-3
15.1%	13.5%	10.0%	9.1%	8.2%	7.6%

Full Time


1	13%
X	22%
2	65%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	64%	36%	84%	16%

1st Half


1	13%
X	38%
2	49%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
7%	4%	6%
2-2	2-X	X-2
42%	5%	21%
1-2	X-X	2-1
3%	12%	1%

1st Score


1	20%
X	8%
2	71%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
56%	44%	86%	14%
16%	84%	46%	54%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
97%	3%	99%	1%
72%	28%	88%	12%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	0-3	1-3	1-0	2-2	2-1
15.1%	13.5%	10.0%	9.1%	8.2%	7.6%	5.7%	5.3%	3.3%	3.2%

Full Time


1	13%
X	22%
2	65%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	64%	36%	84%	16%

1st Half


1	13%
X	38%
2	49%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
7%	4%	6%
2-2	2-X	X-2
42%	5%	21%
1-2	X-X	2-1
3%	12%	1%

1st Score


1	20%
X	8%
2	71%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
56%	44%	86%	14%
16%	84%	46%	54%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
97%	3%	99%	1%
72%	28%	88%	12%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	0-3
15.1%	13.5%	10.0%	9.1%	8.2%	7.6%

0 in a row

Luxembourg

0 in a row