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  4. Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Bnei SakhninBnei Sakhnin

0–1

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
1.2Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Bnei Sakhnin would usually take 0.9 points and Beitar Jerusalem 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Beitar Jerusalem.

Bnei Sakhnin −0.9 pts vs chancesBeitar Jerusalem +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem stats: how the match was played

Ligat ha'Al

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Beitar Jerusalem had more than twice the shots on target

Bnei Sakhnin

Beitar Jerusalem

4

Shots on target

8

1

Big chances

5

2

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

5

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Bnei Sakhnin and Beitar Jerusalem ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Beitar Jerusalem win with 61% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Beitar Jerusalem – Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligat ha'Al

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Beitar Jerusalem to win

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Beitar Jerusalem ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Bnei Sakhnin Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bnei Sakhnin 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Beitar Jerusalem Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Beitar Jerusalem 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligat ha'Al - Israel
Bnei SakhninBnei Sakhnin0
Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem1

Winner

2 61%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

116%
X23%
261%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bnei Sakhnin49%51%80%20%
Beitar Jerusalem17%83%44%56%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bnei Sakhnin94%6%99%1%
Beitar Jerusalem70%30%86%14%

1st Half

116%
X43%
240%

1st Score

130%
X7%
263%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

38%

X-2

20%

X-X

14%

1-1

8%

X-1

6%

1-X

4%

1-2

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

11.4%

0-2

10.1%

1-2

10.1%

1-1

9.8%

0-0

7.3%

0-3

6.9%

1-3

5.9%

1-0

5.0%

2-2

4.7%

2-1

4.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Beitar Jerusalem – Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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