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Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias

2–2

Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon
0.9Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Ironi Tiberias would usually take 1.1 points and Hapoel Katamon 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Hapoel Katamon.

Ironi Tiberias −0.1 pts vs chancesHapoel Katamon −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon stats: how the match was played

Ligat ha'Al

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Ironi Tiberias

Hapoel Katamon

3

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

3

5

Corners

8

1

Yellow cards

5

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Katamon ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Hapoel Katamon win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hapoel Be'er Sheva – Hapoel Katamon prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligat ha'Al

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Katamon to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Ironi Tiberias Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ironi Tiberias 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Hapoel Katamon Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Katamon 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligat ha'Al - Israel
Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias2
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon2

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

129%
X28%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ironi Tiberias38%62%72%28%
Hapoel Katamon28%72%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ironi Tiberias91%9%97%3%
Hapoel Katamon85%15%95%5%

1st Half

123%
X48%
229%

1st Score

142%
X10%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

X-X

20%

X-2

16%

1-1

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

0-1

11.9%

0-0

9.9%

1-0

9.3%

1-2

8.5%

0-2

7.6%

2-1

7.0%

2-2

5.0%

2-0

4.7%

1-3

3.9%

0-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hapoel Be'er Sheva – Hapoel Katamon prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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