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Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

1–0

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

1.4Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Hapoel Be'er Sheva would usually take 2.0 points and Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hapoel Be'er Sheva.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva +1.0 pts vs chancesIroni Kiryat Shmona −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona stats: how the match was played

Ligat ha'Al

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva had more than twice the shots on target

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

66%

Possession

34%

The match between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Ironi Kiryat Shmona ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hapoel Be'er Sheva – Hapoel Katamon prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligat ha'Al

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hapoel Be'er Sheva ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Ironi Kiryat Shmona Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligat ha'Al - Israel

Hapoel Be'er Sheva1

Ironi Kiryat Shmona0

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

Ligat ha'Al - Israel

Hapoel Be'er Sheva1

Ironi Kiryat Shmona0

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

146%

X25%

230%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%	57%	43%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	53%	47%	78%	22%	92%	8%
	34%	66%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	53%	47%
	34%	66%	66%	34%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	92%	8%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

135%

X41%

224%

1st Score

154%

X6%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

8.3%

1-2

7.6%

2-0

7.0%

0-1

6.6%

0-0

6.0%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

4.9%

0-2

3.9%

3-0

3.9%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — Recent Form

Hapoel Be'er Sheva have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Ironi Kiryat Shmona have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

3/5

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

2/5

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

2/5

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

3/5

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

2/5

First Half Result

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

1/5

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

1/5

Correct Score

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

0/5

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hapoel Be'er Sheva – Hapoel Katamon prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).