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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos

1–0

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
0.6Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Yokohama F. Marinos would usually take 1.4 points and Vissel Kobe 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Yokohama F. Marinos.

Yokohama F. Marinos +1.6 pts vs chancesVissel Kobe −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Yokohama F. Marinos had more than twice the shots on target

Yokohama F. Marinos

Vissel Kobe

1

Shots on target

0

1

Big chances

0

6

Corners

2

4

Yellow cards

2

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Yokohama F. Marinos and Vissel Kobe ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Vissel Kobe win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Yokohama F. Marinos – Tokyo Verdy prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vissel Kobe to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yokohama F. Marinos to win.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Yokohama F. Marinos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Vissel Kobe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vissel Kobe 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
J-League - Japan
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe0

Winner

X2 74%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

126%
X27%
247%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Yokohama F. Marinos40%60%73%27%
Vissel Kobe24%76%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Yokohama F. Marinos91%9%98%2%
Vissel Kobe80%20%92%8%

1st Half

125%
X43%
232%

1st Score

141%
X8%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

X-X

18%

1-1

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

0-1

11.0%

1-2

8.8%

0-2

8.5%

0-0

8.4%

1-0

7.7%

2-1

6.2%

2-2

5.2%

1-3

4.5%

0-3

4.4%

2-0

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Yokohama F. Marinos – Tokyo Verdy prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

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