Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Vissel Kobe3–1
V-Varen NagasakiOn these chances Vissel Kobe would usually take 2.1 points and V-Varen Nagasaki 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Vissel Kobe.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki stats: how the match was played
J-League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Vissel Kobe had more than twice the shots on target
Vissel Kobe
V-Varen Nagasaki
7
Shots on target
1
4
Big chances
0
2
Corners
1
0
Yellow cards
2
54%
Possession
46%
Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · J-League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Vissel Kobe to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Vissel Kobe ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Vissel Kobe 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
V-Varen Nagasaki 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Vissel Kobe3
V-Varen Nagasaki1Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Vissel Kobe3V-Varen Nagasaki1Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 45% | 55% |
| 54% | 46% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
20%
X-X
15%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score