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  4. Gimcheon Sangmu vs Bucheon 1995

Sangju Sangmu vs Bucheon 1995 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 17)

Robbed

Sangju Sangmu drew despite more chances

Sangju SangmuSangju Sangmu

1–1

Bucheon 1995Bucheon 1995
1.9Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Sangju Sangmu would usually take 2.0 points and Bucheon 1995 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sangju Sangmu.

Sangju Sangmu −1.0 pts vs chancesBucheon 1995 +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sangju Sangmu vs Bucheon 1995 stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sangju Sangmu

Bucheon 1995

5

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

1

4

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

2

70%

Possession

30%

The match between Sangju Sangmu and Bucheon 1995 ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Sangju Sangmu win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sangju Sangmu – Daejeon Citizen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Sangju Sangmu vs Bucheon 1995 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sangju Sangmu to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Sangju Sangmu Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sangju Sangmu 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Bucheon 1995 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bucheon 1995 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sangju Sangmu vs Bucheon 1995 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sangju Sangmu vs Bucheon 1995. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
Sangju SangmuSangju Sangmu1
Bucheon 1995Bucheon 19951

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

143%
X29%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sangju Sangmu27%73%62%38%
Bucheon 199537%63%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sangju Sangmu85%15%96%4%
Bucheon 199592%8%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X46%
222%

1st Score

152%
X9%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

19%

X-1

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.7%

1-0

11.9%

2-1

9.4%

0-0

9.2%

0-1

9.1%

2-0

8.0%

1-2

7.2%

2-2

5.1%

0-2

4.6%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sangju Sangmu – Daejeon Citizen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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