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  4. Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen

Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
Jeju UnitedJeju United

0–0

Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen
0.9Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Jeju United would usually take 1.3 points and Daejeon Citizen 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Daejeon Citizen.

Jeju United −0.3 pts vs chancesDaejeon Citizen −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Jeju United had clearly more shots on target

Jeju United

Daejeon Citizen

3

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

0

7

Corners

9

1

Yellow cards

1

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Jeju United and Daejeon Citizen ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Daejeon Citizen win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Incheon United – Jeju United prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Daejeon Citizen to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Jeju United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jeju United 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Daejeon Citizen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Daejeon Citizen 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
Jeju UnitedJeju United0
Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen0

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

129%
X28%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Jeju United36%64%71%29%
Daejeon Citizen26%74%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Jeju United91%9%98%2%
Daejeon Citizen84%16%95%5%

1st Half

123%
X44%
233%

1st Score

139%
X9%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-X

18%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

0-1

11.5%

1-2

9.6%

1-0

8.8%

0-0

8.6%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.1%

2-2

5.4%

2-0

4.5%

1-3

4.0%

0-3

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Incheon United – Jeju United prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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