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Anyang vs Gwangju 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 18)

Fair result
AnyangAnyang

1–1

GwangjuGwangju
1.9Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Anyang would usually take 1.8 points and Gwangju 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Anyang.

Anyang −0.8 pts vs chancesGwangju 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Anyang vs Gwangju stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Anyang

Gwangju

4

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

4

3

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

2

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Anyang and Gwangju ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Anyang win at 57% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bucheon 1995 – Gwangju prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Anyang vs Gwangju — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Anyang to win

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Anyang ahead at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Anyang Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Anyang 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Anyang 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Gwangju Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gwangju 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Anyang vs Gwangju 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Anyang vs Gwangju. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
AnyangAnyang1
GwangjuGwangju1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

157%
X25%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Anyang20%80%52%48%
Gwangju47%53%81%19%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Anyang78%22%92%8%
Gwangju96%4%99%1%

1st Half

136%
X47%
217%

1st Score

161%
X9%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

19%

X-X

18%

X-2

9%

2-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.0%

1-1

11.7%

2-0

10.8%

2-1

10.3%

0-0

8.7%

0-1

6.8%

3-0

5.7%

3-1

5.3%

1-2

4.9%

2-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bucheon 1995 – Gwangju prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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