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  4. Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995

Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
GangwonGangwon

0–3

Bucheon 1995Bucheon 1995
1.0Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Gangwon would usually take 1.0 points and Bucheon 1995 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Gangwon.

Gangwon −1.0 pts vs chancesBucheon 1995 +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995 stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bucheon 1995 had clearly more shots on target

Gangwon

Bucheon 1995

3

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

3

6

Corners

5

4

Yellow cards

2

75%

Possession

25%

The match between Gangwon and Bucheon 1995 ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Gangwon win at 53% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Seoul – Gangwon prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gangwon to win

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Gangwon ahead at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Gangwon Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gangwon 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Gangwon 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Bucheon 1995 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bucheon 1995 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 83%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gangwon vs Bucheon 1995. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
GangwonGangwon0
Bucheon 1995Bucheon 19953

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

153%
X27%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%61%39%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gangwon22%78%57%43%
Bucheon 199548%52%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gangwon83%17%94%6%
Bucheon 199596%4%99%1%

1st Half

138%
X44%
218%

1st Score

159%
X10%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

19%

X-X

19%

2-2

9%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.8%

1-1

13.0%

2-0

11.3%

0-0

10.1%

2-1

10.0%

0-1

7.7%

3-0

5.0%

1-2

4.9%

3-1

4.1%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Seoul – Gangwon prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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