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  4. Bucheon 1995 vs Pohang Steelers

Bucheon 1995 vs Pohang Steelers 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 24)

Fair result
Bucheon 1995Bucheon 1995

3–0

Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
1.0Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Bucheon 1995 would usually take 1.0 points and Pohang Steelers 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Bucheon 1995.

Bucheon 1995 +2.0 pts vs chancesPohang Steelers −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bucheon 1995 vs Pohang Steelers stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Bucheon 1995

Pohang Steelers

4

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

2

4

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

2

23%

Possession

77%

The match between Bucheon 1995 and Pohang Steelers ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an Pohang Steelers win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bucheon 1995 – Gwangju prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Bucheon 1995 vs Pohang Steelers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Bucheon 1995 to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Bucheon 1995 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bucheon 1995 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 76%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Pohang Steelers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bucheon 1995 vs Pohang Steelers 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bucheon 1995 vs Pohang Steelers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
Bucheon 1995Bucheon 19953
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers0

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

127%
X29%
244%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bucheon 199540%60%76%24%
Pohang Steelers28%72%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bucheon 199593%7%98%2%
Pohang Steelers86%14%96%4%

1st Half

121%
X50%
229%

1st Score

137%
X10%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

X-X

20%

X-2

16%

1-1

13%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.7%

0-1

13.5%

0-0

10.4%

1-0

9.7%

1-2

8.7%

0-2

8.5%

2-1

6.3%

2-0

4.6%

2-2

4.5%

1-3

3.7%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bucheon 1995 – Gwangju prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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