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Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen

2–1

UlsanUlsan
1.7Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Daejeon Citizen would usually take 2.2 points and Ulsan 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Daejeon Citizen.

Daejeon Citizen +0.8 pts vs chancesUlsan −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Daejeon Citizen had more than twice the shots on target

Daejeon Citizen

Ulsan

7

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

2

7

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

2

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Daejeon Citizen and Ulsan ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Daejeon Citizen win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sangju Sangmu – Daejeon Citizen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Daejeon Citizen to win

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Daejeon Citizen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Daejeon Citizen 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Ulsan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ulsan 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen2
UlsanUlsan1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

140%
X28%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Daejeon Citizen28%72%63%37%
Ulsan34%66%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Daejeon Citizen86%14%96%4%
Ulsan89%11%97%3%

1st Half

127%
X48%
225%

1st Score

147%
X8%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

20%

X-X

19%

2-2

18%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

1-0

11.1%

0-1

9.0%

2-1

8.9%

0-0

8.4%

1-2

7.8%

2-0

6.9%

0-2

5.4%

2-2

5.4%

3-1

3.5%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sangju Sangmu – Daejeon Citizen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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