1. Anyang vs Incheon United

Anyang vs Incheon United 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
AnyangAnyang

2–1

Incheon UnitedIncheon United
0.7Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Anyang would usually take 1.0 points and Incheon United 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Incheon United.

Anyang +2.0 pts vs chancesIncheon United −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Anyang vs Incheon United stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Anyang

Incheon United

3

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

1

1

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

4

0

Red cards

1

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Anyang and Incheon United ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Incheon United win at 56% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pohang Steelers – Anyang prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Anyang vs Incheon United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Incheon United to win

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,583 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Incheon United ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Anyang Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Anyang 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Incheon United Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Incheon United 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Incheon United 0–1 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 847 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Anyang vs Incheon United 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Anyang vs Incheon United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
AnyangAnyang2
Incheon UnitedIncheon United1

Winner

2 56%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

118%
X26%
256%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Anyang47%53%79%21%
Incheon United19%81%49%51%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Anyang94%6%99%1%
Incheon United76%24%91%9%

1st Half

117%
X40%
243%

1st Score

130%
X8%
262%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

36%

X-2

18%

X-X

15%

1-1

9%

X-1

7%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

13.0%

1-1

11.3%

0-2

10.4%

1-2

9.7%

0-0

8.1%

0-3

6.6%

1-0

5.9%

1-3

5.1%

2-1

5.1%

2-2

5.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pohang Steelers – Anyang prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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