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Ulsan vs Seoul 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 28)

Fair result
UlsanUlsan

1–0

SeoulSeoul
1.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Ulsan would usually take 1.3 points and Seoul 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Seoul.

Ulsan +1.7 pts vs chancesSeoul −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ulsan vs Seoul stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Ulsan

Seoul

4

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

0

2

Corners

7

3

Yellow cards

0

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Ulsan and Seoul ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Seoul win at 53% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Seoul – Gangwon prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Ulsan vs Seoul — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Seoul to win

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Ulsan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ulsan 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Seoul Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Seoul 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ulsan vs Seoul 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ulsan vs Seoul. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
K-League 1 - South Korea
UlsanUlsan1
SeoulSeoul0

Winner

2 53%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

122%
X25%
253%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ulsan40%60%72%28%
Seoul18%82%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ulsan91%9%97%3%
Seoul73%27%89%11%

1st Half

118%
X43%
239%

1st Score

135%
X6%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-2

16%

X-X

15%

1-1

11%

X-1

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

0-1

9.6%

1-2

9.6%

0-2

8.6%

0-0

6.1%

1-0

6.0%

2-2

6.0%

1-3

5.7%

2-1

5.6%

0-3

5.3%

2-3

3.6%

2-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Seoul – Gangwon prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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