1. Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Pohang Steelers vs Sangju Sangmu 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

K-League 1 - Season 2026 (Round 28)

Fair result
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers

0–0

Sangju SangmuSangju Sangmu
1.4Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Pohang Steelers would usually take 1.8 points and Sangju Sangmu 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sangju Sangmu.

Pohang Steelers −0.8 pts vs chancesSangju Sangmu +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Pohang Steelers vs Sangju Sangmu stats: how the match was played

K-League 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Pohang Steelers had more than twice the shots on target

Pohang Steelers

Sangju Sangmu

5

Shots on target

1

0

Big chances

0

5

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Pohang Steelers and Sangju Sangmu ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Pohang Steelers win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sangju Sangmu – Daejeon Citizen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Pohang Steelers vs Sangju Sangmu — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · K-League 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sangju Sangmu to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Pohang Steelers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pohang Steelers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Sangju Sangmu Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sangju Sangmu 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Pohang Steelers vs Sangju Sangmu 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pohang Steelers vs Sangju Sangmu. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers0
Sangju SangmuSangju Sangmu0

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

142%
X28%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Pohang Steelers28%72%62%38%
Sangju Sangmu35%65%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Pohang Steelers85%15%95%5%
Sangju Sangmu90%10%97%3%

1st Half

130%
X48%
222%

1st Score

152%
X9%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

19%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

1-0

11.3%

0-1

9.2%

2-1

9.1%

0-0

8.9%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

7.2%

0-2

5.0%

2-2

4.8%

3-1

4.0%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sangju Sangmu – Daejeon Citizen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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