Real Sociedad II vs Girona 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Real Sociedad II1–0
GironaOn these chances Real Sociedad II would usually take 1.9 points and Girona 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Girona.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Real Sociedad II vs Girona stats: how the match was played
La Liga 2
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Real Sociedad II had clearly more shots on target
Real Sociedad II
Girona
5
Shots on target
3
3
Big chances
1
3
Corners
1
6
Yellow cards
1
1
Red cards
1
59%
Possession
41%
Real Sociedad II vs Girona — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga 2
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Girona to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,891 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Real Sociedad II 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Girona 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Girona 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Real Sociedad II vs Girona 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Sociedad II vs Girona. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Real Sociedad II1
Girona0Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Real Sociedad II1Girona0Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43% | 57% | 77% | 23% |
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 79% | 21% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
X-2
18%
X-X
17%
1-1
12%
X-1
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Real Sociedad II vs Girona — Recent Form
Girona have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Real Sociedad II have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
GironaReal Sociedad IIOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
GironaReal Sociedad IIBoth Teams to Score
GironaReal Sociedad IIOver/Under 2.5 Goals
GironaReal Sociedad IIOver/Under 3.5 Goals
GironaReal Sociedad IIFirst Half Result
GironaReal Sociedad IICorrect Score
GironaReal Sociedad II