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Albacete vs Sabadell

Albacete vs Sabadell 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Smash-and-grab

Albacete won with less than half the chances

Albacete

2–1

Sabadell

0.4Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Albacete would usually take 0.4 points and Sabadell 2.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Albacete.

Albacete +2.6 pts vs chancesSabadell −2.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Albacete vs Sabadell stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sabadell had more than twice the shots on target

Albacete

Sabadell

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

35%

Possession

66%

The match between Albacete and Sabadell ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Albacete win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Leganés – Albacete prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Albacete vs Sabadell — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Albacete to win

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,120 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,186 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,288 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Albacete Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Albacete 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Sabadell Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sabadell 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,321 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Albacete vs Sabadell 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Albacete vs Sabadell. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Albacete2

Sabadell1

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Albacete2

Sabadell1

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

140%

X27%

233%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	33%	67%	68%	32%	88%	12%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	33%	67%	68%	32%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	88%	12%	97%	3%

1st Half

132%

X45%

223%

1st Score

151%

X8%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

19%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

10.8%

0-1

9.1%

2-1

8.8%

0-0

8.1%

1-2

7.8%

2-0

6.7%

2-2

5.3%

0-2

5.3%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Albacete vs Sabadell — Recent Form

Albacete have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 21st in the table. Sabadell have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Albacete

Sabadell

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sabadell

2/5

Albacete

5/5

Both Teams to Score

Sabadell

2/5

Albacete

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sabadell

3/5

Albacete

0/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sabadell

5/5

Albacete

3/5

First Half Result

Sabadell

4/5

Albacete

0/5

Correct Score

Sabadell

0/5

Albacete

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Leganés – Albacete prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).