2. Leagues
  3. La Liga 2
  4. Real Oviedo vs Burgos

Real Oviedo vs Burgos 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Real OviedoReal Oviedo

0–0

BurgosBurgos
1.7Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Real Oviedo would usually take 1.4 points and Burgos 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Oviedo.

Real Oviedo −0.4 pts vs chancesBurgos −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Oviedo vs Burgos stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Real Oviedo

Burgos

2

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

4

9

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

4

1

Red cards

0

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Real Oviedo and Burgos ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Real Oviedo win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ceuta – Real Oviedo prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Real Oviedo vs Burgos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Oviedo to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Real Oviedo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Oviedo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Burgos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Burgos 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Oviedo vs Burgos 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Oviedo vs Burgos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga 2 - Spain
Real OviedoReal Oviedo0
BurgosBurgos0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

143%
X30%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Real Oviedo30%70%64%36%
Burgos41%59%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Real Oviedo86%14%95%5%
Burgos92%8%98%2%

1st Half

130%
X51%
219%

1st Score

151%
X12%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

25%

1-1

23%

X-1

15%

2-2

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

13.0%

1-1

13.0%

0-0

11.8%

0-1

9.8%

2-1

8.1%

2-0

8.1%

1-2

6.2%

0-2

4.5%

2-2

4.2%

3-1

3.6%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ceuta – Real Oviedo prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores