Home
Leagues
La Liga 2
Burgos vs Granada

Burgos vs Granada 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Burgos

0–1

Granada

2.0Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Burgos would usually take 1.7 points and Granada 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Burgos.

Burgos −1.7 pts vs chancesGranada +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Burgos vs Granada stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Burgos had clearly more shots on target

Burgos

Granada

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

64%

Possession

36%

The match between Burgos and Granada ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Burgos win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Andorra – Burgos prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Burgos vs Granada — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Burgos to win

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,209 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,295 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Burgos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Burgos 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Granada Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Granada 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,397 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Burgos vs Granada 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Burgos vs Granada. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Burgos0

Granada1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

La Liga 2 - Spain

Burgos0

Granada1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

145%

X27%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	54%	46%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	59%	41%	83%	17%	94%	6%
	37%	63%	72%	28%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	59%	41%
	37%	63%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	83%	17%	94%	6%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

127%

X48%

225%

1st Score

149%

X8%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

19%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

11.5%

2-1

9.4%

0-1

8.4%

0-0

8.3%

2-0

8.0%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

5.0%

0-2

4.6%

3-1

4.1%

3-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Burgos vs Granada — Recent Form

Granada have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Burgos have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Granada

Burgos

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Granada

2/5

Burgos

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Granada

3/5

Burgos

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Granada

2/5

Burgos

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Granada

3/5

Burgos

5/5

First Half Result

Granada

1/5

Burgos

1/5

Correct Score

Granada

0/5

Burgos

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Andorra – Burgos prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).