Leaky
0/10Real Sociedad II kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
Real Sociedad II vs Almería Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Riding their luck
Almería are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Almería 46% to winReal Sociedad II 29%
Real Sociedad II vs Almería score prediction
La Liga 2
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.0 goals expected
3.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical La Liga 2 game (average 2.6).
goals expected
Real Sociedad II1.3
Almería1.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Real Sociedad II vs Almería: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Real Sociedad II vs Almería — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga 2
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Almería to win
Our model 49%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 54%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 79%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,645 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 4,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Real Sociedad II Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Real Sociedad II 0–1 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 838 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.6%).
Almería Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Almería 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 1,584 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Real Sociedad II vs Almería — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Real Sociedad II vs Almería. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Real Sociedad II–
Almería–Winner
X2 76%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Real Sociedad II–Almería–Winner
X2 76%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
124%
X27%
249%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43% | 57% | 77% | 23% |
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
123%
X46%
231%
1st Score
139%
X10%
252%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
X-X
18%
X-2
17%
1-1
14%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
9.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Real Sociedad II vs Almería: the stats that stand out
La Liga 2
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Real Sociedad II: leaky
0/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Real Sociedad II vs Almería: attack vs defence
La Liga 2
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other La Liga 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Real Sociedad II: weak attack, weak defence (1.25 xG, 1.72 xGA a game)
- Almería: weak attack, good defence (1.35 xG, 1.27 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Real Sociedad II vs Almería form and luck check
La Liga 2
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga 2 gamesAlmería are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Real Sociedad IIBookmakers: 29% to win today.−1.2
- AlmeríaBookmakers: 46% to win today.+4.0
Last 5 matches
AlmeríaW
W
W
W
W
Real Sociedad IIL
L
L
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Real Sociedad II 20th of 22 · Almería 2nd of 22
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 22 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Real Sociedad II vs Almería: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
La Liga 2
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 La Liga 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Real Sociedad II games more often than the La Liga 2 average (55%), in Almería games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Real Sociedad II6 of 10
Almería4 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Real Sociedad II8 of 10
Almería3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 470 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Real Sociedad II vs Almería corners, cards and goal times
La Liga 2
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoth sides score early
Real Sociedad II
Almería
4.3
Corners won · league 4.7
4.1
5.3
Corners conceded · league 4.7
5.5
2.6
Cards · league 2.7
1.8
2.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.7
3.2
62%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
64%
15%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
21%
28%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
43%
28%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
14%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Almería3/5
Real Sociedad II3/5
Both Teams to Score
Almería2/5
Real Sociedad II5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Almería3/5
Real Sociedad II4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Almería5/5
Real Sociedad II1/5
First Half Result
Almería2/5
Real Sociedad II2/5
Correct Score
Almería0/5
Real Sociedad II0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction