1. Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna

Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Leaky

Deportivo La Coruña kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).

0/10Clean sheets · Deportivo La Coruña
Bookmakers: Deportivo La Coruña 46% to winOsasuna 25%

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna score prediction

La Liga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Deportivo La Coruña expected to create clearly more

2.6 goals in total, a little under the La Liga average of 2.8.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo La Coruña to win

Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,539 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 52%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,171 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 74%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 41%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,673 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Deportivo La Coruña Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo La Coruña 0–1 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Osasuna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Osasuna 0–1 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,387 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña–
OsasunaOsasuna–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

148%
X26%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo La Coruña23%77%56%44%
Osasuna39%61%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Deportivo La Coruña81%19%94%6%
Osasuna92%8%98%2%

1st Half

135%
X41%
223%

1st Score

157%
X8%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

17%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

1-0

11.8%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

8.3%

0-0

8.0%

0-1

7.5%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

5.1%

3-1

4.7%

3-0

4.5%

0-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna: the stats that stand out

La Liga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Deportivo La Coruña: leaky · Osasuna: shot-shy and slow starters

Leaky
Deportivo La Coruña0/10

Deportivo La Coruña kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).

Shot-shy
Osasuna4/10

Osasuna failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 24%).

Slow starters
Osasuna3/10

Osasuna scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna: attack vs defence

La Liga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other La Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña: weak attack, good defence (1.29 xG, 1.36 xGA a game)
  • OsasunaOsasuna: weak attack, good defence (1.39 xG, 1.40 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna form and luck check

La Liga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Deportivo La Coruña
    Deportivo La CoruñaBookmakers: 46% to win today.
    −0.8
  • Osasuna
    OsasunaBookmakers: 25% to win today.
    −2.8

Last 5 matches

OsasunaOsasuna
L
W
L
D
L
15th in table
Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
L
D
L
D
L
13th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Deportivo La Coruña 10th of 20 · Osasuna 13th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

La Liga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 La Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Deportivo La Coruña games more often than the La Liga average (57%), in Osasuna games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Deportivo La Coruña3 of 10
Osasuna4 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Deportivo La Coruña8 of 10
Osasuna4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 383 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna corners, cards and goal times

La Liga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.8
  • Cards: league 2.4
  • Goals before half-time: league 43%
  • Goals after 75': league 25%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
1/5
OsasunaOsasuna
4/5

Both Teams to Score

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
4/5
OsasunaOsasuna
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
1/5
OsasunaOsasuna
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
4/5
OsasunaOsasuna
3/5

First Half Result

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
3/5
OsasunaOsasuna
0/5

Correct Score

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
3/5
OsasunaOsasuna
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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