Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 33)
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés — La Liga Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 33 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
-11.4% Below implied probability
+69.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43.7% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-10.7% Below implied probability
+13.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.2% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-3.7% Near implied probability
+20.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+19.9% Strongly above implied probability
+14.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.9% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
+59.6% Strongly above implied probability
+26% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.4% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Real Madrid hit at 74% accuracy — that's 69.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Deportivo Alavés sit 11.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 67% | |
| X | 20% | |
| 2 | 13% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 56% | 44% | 78% | 22% |
| 1 | 47% | |
| X | 36% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 9% | 4% | 6% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 11% | 3% |
| 1 | 65% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 39% | 61% | |
| 55% | 45% | 82% | 18% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 85% | 15% | |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 67% | |
| X | 20% | |
| 2 | 13% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 56% | 44% | 78% | 22% |
| 1 | 47% | |
| X | 36% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 9% | 4% | 6% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 11% | 3% |
| 1 | 65% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 39% | 61% | |
| 55% | 45% | 82% | 18% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 85% | 15% | |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés — Prediction Form & Streaks
Real Madrid have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Deportivo Alavés have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.