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Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

La Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 38)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano — La Liga Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 38 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
45.9%(17/37)

+5.8% Above implied probability

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
37.8%(14/37)

-12.9% Below implied probability

43.4% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
35.1%(13/37)

-35.6% Below implied probability

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
48.6%(18/37)

-10.8% Below implied probability

54.5% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
64.9%(24/37)

+20% Strongly above implied probability

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
48.6%(18/37)

-10.2% Below implied probability

54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
83.8%(31/37)

+39% Strongly above implied probability

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
75.7%(28/37)

+25.5% Strongly above implied probability

60.3% Implied Probability

First Half Result

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
54.1%(20/37)

+42.4% Strongly above implied probability

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
56.8%(21/37)

+49.5% Strongly above implied probability

38% Implied Probability

Correct Score

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
16.2%(6/37)
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
18.9%(7/37)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Deportivo Alavés and Rayo Vallecano across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Deportivo Alavés hit at 57% accuracy — that's 49.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 38%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Rayo Vallecano sit 35.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Full Time
137%
X27%
236%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
63%37%86%14%
1st Half
127%
X46%
227%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
20%6%14%
2-22-XX-2
18%5%14%
1-2X-X2-1
3%18%2%
1st Score
144%
X7%
248%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035979/mygameodds/teams/axwx1k3fqvcgjmjm4ftt.png logo29%71%63%37%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035958/mygameodds/teams/iq8apoq7egjuxd70m6q3.png logo30%70%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035979/mygameodds/teams/axwx1k3fqvcgjmjm4ftt.png logo86%14%96%4%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035958/mygameodds/teams/iq8apoq7egjuxd70m6q3.png logo86%14%96%4%
Correct Score
1-11-00-11-22-10-02-0
12.6%9.6%9.2%8.4%8.4%7.3%6.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano — Prediction Form & Streaks

Deportivo Alavés have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Rayo Vallecano have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Rayo Vallecano well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 in a row
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
0 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 in a row
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
0 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 in a row
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
1 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
4 in a row
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
3 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 in a row
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 in a row
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
0 in a row

Deportivo Alavés & Rayo Vallecano Teams in Best Form

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
W
W
D
L
W
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
W
D
D
W
D

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