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Real Betis vs Real Sociedad 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
Real BetisReal Betis

1–0

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Real Betis would usually take 1.9 points and Real Sociedad 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Betis.

Real Betis +1.1 pts vs chancesReal Sociedad −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Betis vs Real Sociedad stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Real Betis had more than twice the shots on target

Real Betis

Real Sociedad

7

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

2

4

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

3

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Real Betis and Real Sociedad ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Real Betis win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Málaga – Real Sociedad prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Real Betis vs Real Sociedad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Betis to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,511 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.2% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 3,982 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,717 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Real Betis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Betis 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,824 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Real Sociedad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Sociedad 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Betis vs Real Sociedad 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Betis vs Real Sociedad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga - Spain
Real BetisReal Betis1
Real SociedadReal Sociedad0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

148%
X26%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Real Betis22%78%53%47%
Real Sociedad38%62%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Real Betis78%22%92%8%
Real Sociedad90%10%97%3%

1st Half

134%
X45%
222%

1st Score

154%
X7%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

10.3%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

8.2%

0-0

7.1%

0-1

6.9%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

5.2%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Málaga – Real Sociedad prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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