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Racing Santander vs Elche 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Racing SantanderRacing Santander

3–2

ElcheElche
1.5Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Racing Santander would usually take 1.2 points and Elche 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Racing Santander.

Racing Santander +1.8 pts vs chancesElche −1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Racing Santander vs Elche stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Racing Santander

Elche

6

Shots on target

7

4

Big chances

1

5

Corners

10

2

Yellow cards

1

41%

Possession

60%

The match between Racing Santander and Elche ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Racing Santander win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Osasuna – Racing Santander prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Racing Santander vs Elche — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing Santander to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Racing Santander Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing Santander 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Racing Santander 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Elche Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Elche 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Racing Santander vs Elche 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Racing Santander vs Elche. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga - Spain
Racing SantanderRacing Santander3
ElcheElche2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

148%
X27%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Racing Santander22%78%53%47%
Elche39%61%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Racing Santander78%22%92%8%
Elche89%11%97%3%

1st Half

135%
X41%
224%

1st Score

154%
X7%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

1-0

10.8%

2-1

8.9%

2-0

8.2%

0-0

7.5%

0-1

6.5%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

5.7%

3-1

4.8%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Osasuna – Racing Santander prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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