Espanyol vs Elche 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Elche won with fewer chances than Espanyol
Espanyol1–3
ElcheOn these chances Espanyol would usually take 2.0 points and Elche 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Espanyol.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Espanyol vs Elche stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Elche had clearly more shots on target
Espanyol
Elche
4
Shots on target
6
2
Big chances
3
3
Corners
3
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
64%
Possession
36%
Espanyol vs Elche — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Espanyol to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Espanyol ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Espanyol 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Espanyol 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Elche 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Espanyol vs Elche 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Espanyol vs Elche. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Espanyol1
Elche3Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Espanyol1Elche3Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% |
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 15% | 96% | 4% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
17%
X-1
16%
2-2
16%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Espanyol vs Elche — Recent Form
Elche have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table. Espanyol have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Last 5 matches
ElcheEspanyolOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
EspanyolElcheBoth Teams to Score
EspanyolElcheOver/Under 2.5 Goals
EspanyolElcheOver/Under 3.5 Goals
EspanyolElcheFirst Half Result
EspanyolElcheCorrect Score
EspanyolElche