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Cheltenham Town vs Newport County 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2025/2026 (Round 44)

The match between Cheltenham Town and Newport County ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Cheltenham Town win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Cheltenham Town vs Newport County — League Two Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 44 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

Newport CountyNewport County
54.3%(25/46)

+26.9% Strongly above implied probability

Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
52.2%(24/46)

+22% Strongly above implied probability

42.8% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

Newport CountyNewport County
47.8%(22/46)

-12% Below implied probability

Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
56.5%(26/46)

+4.1% Above implied probability

54.3% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Newport CountyNewport County
47.8%(22/46)

-11.2% Below implied probability

Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
43.5%(20/46)

-19.1% Below implied probability

53.8% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Newport CountyNewport County
71.7%(33/46)

+17.5% Strongly above implied probability

Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
67.4%(31/46)

+10.5% Strongly above implied probability

61% Implied Probability

First Half Result

Newport CountyNewport County
60.9%(28/46)

+60.7% Strongly above implied probability

Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
43.5%(20/46)

+14.8% Strongly above implied probability

37.9% Implied Probability

Correct Score

Newport CountyNewport County
10.9%(5/46)
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
13%(6/46)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Cheltenham Town and Newport County across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Newport County hit at 61% accuracy — that's 60.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Cheltenham Town sit 19.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Cheltenham Town vs Newport County 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cheltenham Town vs Newport County. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
150%
X25%
225%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
58%42%82%18%
1st Half
132%
X46%
222%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
26%5%17%
2-22-XX-2
14%5%10%
1-2X-X2-1
2%18%4%
1st Score
154%
X6%
239%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1697400616/mygameodds/teams/jaamaaf3agxvdvyimy8e.png logo21%79%51%49%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036365/mygameodds/teams/hp0fodhzn8ytkxlutdq2.png logo38%62%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1697400616/mygameodds/teams/jaamaaf3agxvdvyimy8e.png logo76%24%90%10%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036365/mygameodds/teams/hp0fodhzn8ytkxlutdq2.png logo90%10%97%3%
Correct Score
1-11-02-12-00-11-20-0
11.5%10.1%9.5%8.3%6.5%6.4%6.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Cheltenham Town vs Newport County — Prediction Form & Streaks

Newport County have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table. Cheltenham Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
Newport CountyNewport County
0 in a row
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
2 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
Newport CountyNewport County
2 in a row
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
1 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Newport CountyNewport County
2 in a row
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
0 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Newport CountyNewport County
1 in a row
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
0 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
Newport CountyNewport County
0 in a row
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
Newport CountyNewport County
0 in a row
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
0 in a row

Cheltenham Town & Newport County Teams in Best Form

Newport CountyNewport County
W
W
L
W
L
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town
L
L
L
W
W

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