Low-scoring
0/10Northampton Town games: none of their last 10 went over 2.5 goals (league 48%).
League Two Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming League Two match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 31 October 2026.
League Two Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 9 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
46%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
52%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
51%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
74%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
43%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
17%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
League Two 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 46%, BTTS 52%, Over/Under 2.5 51%, Over/Under 3.5 74%, correct score 17%.
League Two stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 541 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals a match
2.57
45th of 63
xG a match
2.61
50th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
League Two: the stats that stand out
The League Two teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games0/10Goals at both ends
10/10Barnet: both teams scored in 10 of their last 10 (league 53%).
Fast starters
9/10Salford City scored first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Brick wall
6/10Exeter City kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
Hard to break
1/10Accrington Stanley conceded first in only 1 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Flop as favourites
2/9Oldham Athletic won only 2 of 9 as favourites (league 49%).
Shot-shy
5/10Swindon Town failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for League Two England
Free predictions for today's League Two matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
· FT
Chesterfield4
Tranmere Rovers2Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Chesterfield4Tranmere Rovers2Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
152%
X25%
222%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
 | 43% | 57% | 77% | 23% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 64% | 36% |
Correct Score
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
· FT
Salford City1
Fleetwood Town0Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Salford City1Fleetwood Town0Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Rochdale1
Swindon Town0Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Rochdale1Swindon Town0Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
· FT
Grimsby Town1
Shrewsbury Town2Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Grimsby Town1Shrewsbury Town2Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Gillingham0
Newport County0Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Gillingham0Newport County0Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Exeter City1
Rotherham United0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Exeter City1Rotherham United0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Crewe Alexandra3
Bristol Rovers1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Crewe Alexandra3Bristol Rovers1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Accrington Stanley2
Cheltenham Town0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Accrington Stanley2Cheltenham Town0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Cheltenham Town1Newport County0Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Cheltenham Town1Newport County0Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
Bristol Rovers0Swindon Town0Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Bristol Rovers0Swindon Town0Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
· FT
Northampton Town2
Colchester United0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Northampton Town2Colchester United0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
York City2
Port Vale0Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
York City2Port Vale0Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Gillingham1Grimsby Town4Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Gillingham1Grimsby Town4Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Exeter City2Fleetwood Town1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Exeter City2Fleetwood Town1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Rotherham United3Shrewsbury Town3Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Rotherham United3Shrewsbury Town3Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Rochdale0Accrington Stanley5Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Rochdale0Accrington Stanley5Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Barnet1
Oldham Athletic1Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Barnet1Oldham Athletic1Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
· FT
Crawley Town1Tranmere Rovers1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Crawley Town1Tranmere Rovers1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Chesterfield5Crewe Alexandra1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Chesterfield5Crewe Alexandra1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Walsall2Salford City4Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Walsall2Salford City4Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
· FT
Barnet3York City1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Barnet3York City1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Newport County4Chesterfield1Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Newport County4Chesterfield1Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Grimsby Town5York City2Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Grimsby Town5York City2Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Port Vale4Rochdale2Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Port Vale4Rochdale2Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Swindon Town2Rotherham United1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Swindon Town2Rotherham United1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Shrewsbury Town1Gillingham2Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Shrewsbury Town1Gillingham2Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Tranmere Rovers3Cheltenham Town1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Tranmere Rovers3Cheltenham Town1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Fleetwood Town3Bristol Rovers1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Fleetwood Town3Bristol Rovers1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Crewe Alexandra1Barnet1Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Crewe Alexandra1Barnet1Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Salford City2Exeter City1Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Salford City2Exeter City1Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Oldham Athletic0Crawley Town1Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Oldham Athletic0Crawley Town1Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Colchester United1Walsall3Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Colchester United1Walsall3Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
· FT
Accrington Stanley1Northampton Town1Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Accrington Stanley1Northampton Town1Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Northampton Town–Oldham Athletic–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Northampton Town–Oldham Athletic–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
League Two xG: chances created and allowed
Every League Two team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLeague Two average · 1.37 xG, 1.35 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 24
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →League Two Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in League Two this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −15◀ fewer than expected · −15 pts odds expected+15 more ▶+15 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
152 matches
47.4%
Season (152) · 47.4% vs 42.6%
Season
+4.8
±7.6
30 days (58) · 43.1% vs 42.1%
30 days
+1.0
±12.3
Draws
152 matches
34.2%
Season (152) · 34.2% vs 26.4%More than expected
Season
+7.8
±7.0More than expected
30 days (58) · 31.0% vs 26.3%
30 days
+4.8
±11.3
Away wins
152 matches
18.4%
Season (152) · 18.4% vs 31.0%Fewer than expected
Season
−12.6
±7.2Fewer than expected
30 days (58) · 25.9% vs 31.6%
30 days
−5.8
±11.6
Over 2.5 goals
152 matches
45.4%
Season (152) · 45.4% vs 51.4%
Season
−6.0
±7.9
30 days (58) · 44.8% vs 52.3%
30 days
−7.5
±12.8
Both teams scored
152 matches
55.9%
Season (152) · 55.9% vs 54.7%
Season
+1.2
±7.9
30 days (58) · 58.6% vs 55.0%
30 days
+3.6
±12.8
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
152 matches
29.6%
Season (152) · 29.6% vs 29.8%
Season
−0.2
±7.2
30 days (58) · 34.5% vs 30.7%
30 days
+3.8
±11.8
Home side ahead at half-time
152 matches
39.5%
Season (152) · 39.5% vs 32.8%
Season
+6.7
±7.4
30 days (58) · 44.8% vs 32.8%More than expected
30 days
+12.1
±11.9More than expected
Level at half-time
152 matches
42.8%
Season (152) · 42.8% vs 41.8%
Season
+1.0
±7.8
30 days (58) · 37.9% vs 41.4%
30 days
−3.4
±12.7
Away side ahead at half-time
152 matches
17.8%
Season (152) · 17.8% vs 25.4%Fewer than expected
Season
−7.7
±6.9Fewer than expected
30 days (58) · 17.2% vs 25.9%
30 days
−8.6
±11.1
Home team scored 2+
152 matches
46.7%
Season (152) · 46.7% vs 43.8%
Season
+2.9
±7.7
30 days (58) · 39.7% vs 44.3%
30 days
−4.7
±12.5
Away team scored 2+
152 matches
28.9%
Season (152) · 28.9% vs 34.7%
Season
−5.7
±7.4
30 days (58) · 32.8% vs 35.8%
30 days
−3.0
±12.1
Outside the normal range this season: Draws 34.2% vs 26.4% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 35); Away wins 18.4% vs 31.0% expected (chance alone: 1 in 1,000 or less); Away side ahead at half-time 17.8% vs 25.4% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 35).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 152 | 47.4% | 42.6% | +4.8 | ±7.6 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 58 | 43.1% | 42.1% | +1.0 | ±12.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 152 | 34.2% | 26.4% | +7.8 | ±7.0 | More than expected |
| Draws | 30 days | 58 | 31.0% | 26.3% | +4.8 | ±11.3 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 152 | 18.4% | 31.0% | −12.6 | ±7.2 | Fewer than expected |
| Away wins | 30 days | 58 | 25.9% | 31.6% | −5.8 | ±11.6 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 152 | 45.4% | 51.4% | −6.0 | ±7.9 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 58 | 44.8% | 52.3% | −7.5 | ±12.8 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 152 | 55.9% | 54.7% | +1.2 | ±7.9 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 58 | 58.6% | 55.0% | +3.6 | ±12.8 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 152 | 29.6% | 29.8% | −0.2 | ±7.2 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 58 | 34.5% | 30.7% | +3.8 | ±11.8 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 152 | 39.5% | 32.8% | +6.7 | ±7.4 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 58 | 44.8% | 32.8% | +12.1 | ±11.9 | More than expected |
| Level at half-time | Season | 152 | 42.8% | 41.8% | +1.0 | ±7.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 58 | 37.9% | 41.4% | −3.4 | ±12.7 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 152 | 17.8% | 25.4% | −7.7 | ±6.9 | Fewer than expected |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 58 | 17.2% | 25.9% | −8.6 | ±11.1 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 152 | 46.7% | 43.8% | +2.9 | ±7.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 58 | 39.7% | 44.3% | −4.7 | ±12.5 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 152 | 28.9% | 34.7% | −5.7 | ±7.4 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 58 | 32.8% | 35.8% | −3.0 | ±12.1 | Normal range |
League Two luck check: the last 10 games
League Two teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+9.3 = 9 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck5
- Salford CityClinical · +5 goals+9.3
Cheltenham TownClinical · +8 goals+8.6
RochdaleClinical · +5 goals+7.1
GillinghamClinical · +7 goals+5.0
Crewe AlexandraClinical · +3 goals+4.0
Unlucky7
- Oldham AthleticWasteful · −6 goals−7.8
Grimsby TownWasteful · −4 goals−6.2
Fleetwood Town−6.1
Crawley Town−5.5
Bristol RoversWasteful · −7 goals−5.0- Chesterfield−4.8
Rotherham United−4.6
Points in line, but wasteful: Port Vale (−6 goals), Exeter City (−5), Colchester United (−4). Clinical: Accrington Stanley (+3).
In line with their chances: Swindon Town, Walsall, Barnet, Newport County, Tranmere Rovers, Shrewsbury Town, Northampton Town and York City.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →League Two last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 24–Oct 31 · 14 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Shrewsbury Town1-2GillinghamSmash-and-grabGillingham beat Shrewsbury Town 2-1 despite fewer chances (xG 1.3 vs 2.4).
Newport County4-1ChesterfieldUpsetBookmakers gave Newport County 19% to win at kick-off.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →League Two Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Salford City | 14 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | W W W W W |
2  Barnet | 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | +10 | D W D L W |
3  Walsall | 13 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | W L W D D |
4  Crewe Alexandra | 14 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | D L L W W |
5  Cheltenham Town | 14 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | L W W L L |
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares League Two with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About League Two
League Two is the fourth tier of the English football league system. It is known for its intense competition and dramatic matches. League Two clubs often have strong community ties and loyal fan bases. Many footballing legends have started their careers in League Two.