Leaky
0/10Barnet kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
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Crawley Town vs Barnet Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Unlucky
Crawley Town are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Crawley Town 21% to winBarnet 57%
Crawley Town vs Barnet score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.0 goals expected
3.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical League Two game (average 2.6).
goals expected
Crawley Town1.2Barnet1.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Crawley Town vs Barnet: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Crawley Town vs Barnet — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Barnet to win
Our model 50%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 3,524 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.7% of the time (bookmakers said 50.7%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 3,078 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 38%
Our track record
In 2,866 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 4,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.3%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,204 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Crawley Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crawley Town 0–1 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 1,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Barnet Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Barnet 0–1 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Crawley Town vs Barnet — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Crawley Town vs Barnet. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Crawley Town–
Barnet–Winner
X2 76%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Crawley Town–Barnet–Winner
X2 76%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
124%
X26%
250%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43% | 57% | 75% | 25% |
| 24% | 76% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
125%
X40%
236%
1st Score
139%
X9%
252%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
1-1
17%
X-2
16%
X-X
14%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
12.9%
1-1
10.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Crawley Town vs Barnet: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Barnet: leaky and always on the scoresheet
0/10Always on the scoresheet
0/10Barnet scored in all of their last 10 (league 27% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Crawley Town vs Barnet: attack vs defence
League Two
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Crawley Town: good attack, weak defence (1.42 xG, 1.70 xGA a game)
- Barnet: good attack, good defence (1.73 xG, 1.18 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Crawley Town vs Barnet form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesCrawley Town are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Crawley TownBookmakers: 21% to win today.−5.2
- BarnetBookmakers: 57% to win today.+0.8
Last 5 matches
BarnetD
W
D
L
W
Crawley TownW
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Crawley Town 22nd of 24 · Barnet 1st of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Crawley Town vs Barnet: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Crawley Town and Barnet games more often than the League Two average (53%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Crawley Town5 of 10
Barnet7 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Crawley Town7 of 10
Barnet10 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 541 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Crawley Town vs Barnet corners, cards and goal times
League Two
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.9
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Crawley Town2/5
Barnet2/5
Both Teams to Score
Crawley Town3/5
Barnet5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Crawley Town4/5
Barnet3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Crawley Town3/5
Barnet3/5
First Half Result
Crawley Town3/5
Barnet1/5
Correct Score
Crawley Town1/5
Barnet2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction