1. Barnet vs Port Vale

Barnet vs Port Vale Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 16)

Wasteful

Port Vale are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

−3goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10

77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.

Barnet vs Port Vale score prediction

League Two

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Barnet expected to create clearly more

2.7 goals in total, a little over the League Two average of 2.6.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Barnet vs Port Vale will be played on Saturday, November 21 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 16 of the League Two, played in England. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Barnet vs Port Vale, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Barnet vs Port Vale — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Barnet vs Port Vale. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

BarnetBarnet–
Port ValePort Vale–

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

158%
X24%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Barnet17%83%45%55%
Port Vale46%54%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Barnet71%29%87%13%
Port Vale92%8%98%2%

1st Half

141%
X40%
218%

1st Score

159%
X6%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

10%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

10.9%

1-1

10.7%

2-0

9.8%

2-1

9.6%

3-0

6.4%

0-0

6.3%

3-1

5.8%

0-1

5.3%

2-2

5.1%

1-2

4.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Barnet vs Port Vale: the stats that stand out

League Two

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Barnet: leaky and always on the scoresheet

Leaky
Barnet0/10

Barnet kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).

Always on the scoresheet
Barnet0/10

Barnet scored in all of their last 10 (league 27% fail to score).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Barnet vs Port Vale: attack vs defence

League Two

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • BarnetBarnet: good attack, good defence (1.73 xG, 1.18 xGA a game)
  • Port ValePort Vale: weak attack, good defence (1.25 xG, 1.13 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Barnet vs Port Vale form and luck check

League Two

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Barnet
    Barnet
    +0.8
  • Port Vale
    Port ValeWasteful · −3 goals
    −0.4

Last 5 matches

Port ValePort Vale
W
L
D
W
W
19th in table
BarnetBarnet
D
W
D
L
W
2nd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Barnet 1st of 24 · Port Vale 10th of 24

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Barnet vs Port Vale: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

League Two

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Barnet games more often than the League Two average (53%), in Port Vale games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Barnet7 of 10
Port Vale2 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Barnet10 of 10
Port Vale3 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 541 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Barnet vs Port Vale corners, cards and goal times

League Two

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.9
  • Cards: league 1.9
  • Goals before half-time: league 44%
  • Goals after 75': league 24%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

BarnetBarnet
2/5
Port ValePort Vale
3/5

Both Teams to Score

BarnetBarnet
5/5
Port ValePort Vale
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

BarnetBarnet
3/5
Port ValePort Vale
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

BarnetBarnet
3/5
Port ValePort Vale
4/5

First Half Result

BarnetBarnet
1/5
Port ValePort Vale
0/5

Correct Score

BarnetBarnet
2/5
Port ValePort Vale
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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