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Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 17)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín — Liga BetPlay Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 17 · Apertura

Full-Time Result

Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
46.7%(7/15)

+6.6% Above implied probability

Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
28.6%(4/14)

-34.7% Below implied probability

43.8% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
60%(9/15)

+10.9% Strongly above implied probability

Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
21.4%(3/14)

-60.4% Below implied probability

54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
66.7%(10/15)

+24.2% Strongly above implied probability

Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
28.6%(4/14)

-46.7% Below implied probability

53.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
86.7%(13/15)

+38.9% Strongly above implied probability

Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
71.4%(10/14)

+14.4% Strongly above implied probability

62.4% Implied Probability

First Half Result

Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
60%(9/15)

+55.4% Strongly above implied probability

Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
35.7%(5/14)

-7.5% Near implied probability

38.6% Implied Probability

Correct Score

Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
26.7%(4/15)
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
7.1%(1/14)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Alianza Petrolera and Independiente Medellín across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Alianza Petrolera hit at 60% accuracy — that's 55.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Independiente Medellín sit 60.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Full Time
135%
X31%
234%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
71%29%91%9%
1st Half
129%
X47%
224%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
20%5%14%
2-22-XX-2
17%5%13%
1-2X-X2-1
2%21%2%
1st Score
146%
X11%
243%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714183713/mygameodds/teams/ri0qwxt0kdzwyoz1l4kt.png logo33%67%69%31%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714183724/mygameodds/teams/k65uh1qbc08t3jykottq.png logo34%66%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714183713/mygameodds/teams/ri0qwxt0kdzwyoz1l4kt.png logo90%10%97%3%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714183724/mygameodds/teams/k65uh1qbc08t3jykottq.png logo90%10%97%3%
Correct Score
1-11-00-10-02-11-22-0
14.2%11.5%11.3%10.9%8.0%7.9%6.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín — Prediction Form & Streaks

Independiente Medellín have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Alianza Petrolera have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Independiente Medellín well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
1 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
5 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
1 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
1 in a row

Alianza Petrolera & Independiente Medellín Teams in Best Form

Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
D
W
L
W
W
Alianza PetroleraAlianza Petrolera
W
D
L
W
W

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