Always chasing
9/10Independiente Medellín conceded first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Liga BetPlay Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga BetPlay match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 31 October 2026.
Liga BetPlay Predictions by Market
Season 2026 · Round 16 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
45%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
52%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
53%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
74%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
49%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
13%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Liga BetPlay 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 45%, BTTS 52%, Over/Under 2.5 53%, Over/Under 3.5 74%, correct score 13%.
Liga BetPlay stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 412 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsTight and cageyHome fortressDraws aplenty
Goals a match
2.49
51st of 63
xG a match
2.53
54th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Liga BetPlay: the stats that stand out
The Liga BetPlay teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/10Brick wall
6/10Deportivo Cali kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
Goals at both ends
9/10Millonarios: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 53%).
Flop as favourites
1/8Deportes Tolima won only 1 of 8 as favourites (league 49%).
Fast starters
7/9Atlético Bucaramanga scored first in 7 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Low-scoring
2/10Once Caldas games went over 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10América de Cali failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Liga BetPlay Colombia
Free predictions for today's Liga BetPlay matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
· FT
Santa Fe3
Millonarios2Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Santa Fe3Millonarios2Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
138%
X29%
233%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
| 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 69% | 31% |
Correct Score
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
· FT
Llaneros1
Deportes Tolima2Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Llaneros1Deportes Tolima2Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
· FT
Millonarios1
Deportivo Cali1Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Millonarios1Deportivo Cali1Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
La Equidad1
Once Caldas1Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
La Equidad1Once Caldas1Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Fortaleza CEIF1Millonarios1Winner
X2 75%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Fortaleza CEIF1Millonarios1Winner
X2 75%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Alianza Petrolera2
Rionegro Águilas2Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Alianza Petrolera2Rionegro Águilas2Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
· FT
Once Caldas1Llaneros0Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Once Caldas1Llaneros0Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Deportivo Pereira0Deportivo Cali0Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Deportivo Pereira0Deportivo Cali0Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Junior FC2La Equidad2Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Junior FC2La Equidad2Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Jaguares de Córdoba3Deportes Tolima2Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Jaguares de Córdoba3Deportes Tolima2Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
· FT
Boyacá Chicó0
Cúcuta Deportivo1Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Boyacá Chicó0Cúcuta Deportivo1Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
América de Cali1
Independiente Medellín2Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
América de Cali1Independiente Medellín2Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Atlético Nacional3
Deportivo Pasto0Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Atlético Nacional3Deportivo Pasto0Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
· FT
Boyacá Chicó1
Atlético Bucaramanga0Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Boyacá Chicó1Atlético Bucaramanga0Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
· FT
Junior FC1Rionegro Águilas0Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Junior FC1Rionegro Águilas0Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
América de Cali3Cúcuta Deportivo1Winner
1 73%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
América de Cali3Cúcuta Deportivo1Winner
1 73%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
2-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Once Caldas1Deportivo Pereira1Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Once Caldas1Deportivo Pereira1Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
· FT
Fortaleza CEIF1Deportivo Cali1Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Fortaleza CEIF1Deportivo Cali1Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
· FT
Alianza Petrolera1La Equidad0Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Alianza Petrolera1La Equidad0Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
· FT
Atlético Nacional2Independiente Medellín1Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Atlético Nacional2Independiente Medellín1Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
· FT
Deportes Tolima0Deportivo Pasto1Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Deportes Tolima0Deportivo Pasto1Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Jaguares de Córdoba1Llaneros0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Jaguares de Córdoba1Llaneros0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Santa Fe2Atlético Bucaramanga1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Santa Fe2Atlético Bucaramanga1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
· FT
Cúcuta Deportivo0Rionegro Águilas2Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Cúcuta Deportivo0Rionegro Águilas2Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Boyacá Chicó1Junior FC1Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Boyacá Chicó1Junior FC1Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Once Caldas1Alianza Petrolera0Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Once Caldas1Alianza Petrolera0Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
La Equidad3Independiente Medellín1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
La Equidad3Independiente Medellín1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
América de Cali2Fortaleza CEIF1Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
América de Cali2Fortaleza CEIF1Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Atlético Nacional2Santa Fe0Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Atlético Nacional2Santa Fe0Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Deportivo Pereira1Jaguares de Córdoba0Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Deportivo Pereira1Jaguares de Córdoba0Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Atlético Bucaramanga2Deportivo Pasto1Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Atlético Bucaramanga2Deportivo Pasto1Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
LIVE
Llaneros0Junior FC0Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Llaneros0Junior FC0Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Deportivo Cali–Boyacá Chicó–Winner
1 83%
BTTS*
No 66%
Correct Score
2-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Deportivo Cali–Boyacá Chicó–Winner
1 83%
BTTS*
No 66%
Correct Score
2-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Independiente Medellín–Alianza Petrolera–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Independiente Medellín–Alianza Petrolera–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Rionegro Águilas–Fortaleza CEIF–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Rionegro Águilas–Fortaleza CEIF–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga BetPlay xG: chances created and allowed
Every Liga BetPlay team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLiga BetPlay average · 1.30 xG, 1.30 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Liga BetPlay Results vs the Odds
Season 2026 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Liga BetPlay this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −15◀ fewer than expected · −15 pts odds expected+15 more ▶+15 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
364 matches
45.9%
Season (364) · 45.9% vs 46.6%
Season
−0.7
±4.9
30 days (53) · 50.9% vs 48.3%
30 days
+2.6
±12.6
Draws
364 matches
30.8%
Season (364) · 30.8% vs 27.0%
Season
+3.8
±4.5
30 days (53) · 30.2% vs 25.5%
30 days
+4.7
±11.7
Away wins
364 matches
23.4%
Season (364) · 23.4% vs 26.5%
Season
−3.1
±4.3
30 days (53) · 18.9% vs 26.2%
30 days
−7.3
±11.2
Over 2.5 goals
364 matches
47.3%
Season (364) · 47.3% vs 44.7%
Season
+2.5
±5.1
30 days (53) · 39.6% vs 49.5%
30 days
−9.9
±13.4
Both teams scored
364 matches
54.1%
Season (364) · 54.1% vs 46.6%More than expected
Season
+7.5
±5.1More than expected
30 days (53) · 50.9% vs 49.8%
30 days
+1.2
±13.4
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
364 matches
23.6%
Season (364) · 23.6% vs 24.0%
Season
−0.3
±4.3
30 days (53) · 20.8% vs 28.0%
30 days
−7.2
±12.0
Home side ahead at half-time
363 matches
33.3%
Season (363) · 33.3% vs 34.7%
Season
−1.4
±4.8
30 days (53) · 35.8% vs 36.3%
30 days
−0.4
±12.5
Level at half-time
363 matches
47.4%
Season (363) · 47.4% vs 43.7%
Season
+3.7
±5.1
30 days (53) · 49.1% vs 41.7%
30 days
+7.4
±13.2
Away side ahead at half-time
363 matches
19.3%
Season (363) · 19.3% vs 21.6%
Season
−2.3
±4.1
30 days (53) · 15.1% vs 22.1%
30 days
−7.0
±10.9
Home team scored 2+
364 matches
44.0%
Season (364) · 44.0% vs 41.8%
Season
+2.1
±4.9
30 days (53) · 37.7% vs 45.5%
30 days
−7.7
±12.8
Away team scored 2+
363 matches
28.7%
Season (363) · 28.7% vs 26.3%
Season
+2.3
±4.4
30 days (53) · 17.0% vs 28.4%
30 days
−11.4
±11.7
Outside the normal range this season: Both teams scored 54.1% vs 46.6% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 250).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 364 | 45.9% | 46.6% | −0.7 | ±4.9 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 53 | 50.9% | 48.3% | +2.6 | ±12.6 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 364 | 30.8% | 27.0% | +3.8 | ±4.5 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 53 | 30.2% | 25.5% | +4.7 | ±11.7 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 364 | 23.4% | 26.5% | −3.1 | ±4.3 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 53 | 18.9% | 26.2% | −7.3 | ±11.2 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 364 | 47.3% | 44.7% | +2.5 | ±5.1 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 53 | 39.6% | 49.5% | −9.9 | ±13.4 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 364 | 54.1% | 46.6% | +7.5 | ±5.1 | More than expected |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 53 | 50.9% | 49.8% | +1.2 | ±13.4 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 364 | 23.6% | 24.0% | −0.3 | ±4.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 53 | 20.8% | 28.0% | −7.2 | ±12.0 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 363 | 33.3% | 34.7% | −1.4 | ±4.8 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 53 | 35.8% | 36.3% | −0.4 | ±12.5 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 363 | 47.4% | 43.7% | +3.7 | ±5.1 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 53 | 49.1% | 41.7% | +7.4 | ±13.2 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 363 | 19.3% | 21.6% | −2.3 | ±4.1 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 53 | 15.1% | 22.1% | −7.0 | ±10.9 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 364 | 44.0% | 41.8% | +2.1 | ±4.9 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 53 | 37.7% | 45.5% | −7.7 | ±12.8 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 363 | 28.7% | 26.3% | +2.3 | ±4.4 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 53 | 17.0% | 28.4% | −11.4 | ±11.7 | Normal range |
Liga BetPlay luck check: the last 10 games
Liga BetPlay teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.2 = 7 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck3
- Deportivo Cali+7.2
- Atlético Bucaramanga9 of 10 gamesClinical · +7 goals+6.3
Alianza Petrolera+5.1
Unlucky5
- Deportes TolimaWasteful · −8 goals−10.3
- Independiente MedellínWasteful · −3 goals−5.9
Fortaleza CEIF−5.4
Llaneros−4.1- Once CaldasWasteful · −10 goals−4.0
Points in line, but clinical: La Equidad (+3 goals).
In line with their chances: Santa Fe, Deportivo Pereira, Cúcuta Deportivo, Deportivo Pasto, Atlético Nacional, Boyacá Chicó, América de Cali, Rionegro Águilas, Jaguares de Córdoba, Millonarios and Junior FC.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Liga BetPlay last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 24–Oct 31 · 16 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Liga BetPlay Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Atlético Nacional | 16 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | W W W L W |
2  América de Cali | 16 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | W W D L W |
3  Deportivo Cali | 16 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | D W D D W |
4  Atlético Bucaramanga | 16 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | +9 | W L L D D |
5  Santa Fe | 16 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | L W W L W |
Next Round
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Liga BetPlay with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Liga BetPlay
Liga BetPlay is Colombia’s premier football competition, featuring 20 clubs in a split-season format. Known for its intense atmosphere and attacking style, the league has produced stars like James Rodríguez and Radamel Falcao. The top teams qualify for the Copa Libertadores and Copa Sudamericana.