Hard to break
1/10Atlético Bucaramanga conceded first in only 1 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Liga BetPlay Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga BetPlay match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 11 October 2026.
Liga BetPlay Predictions by Market
Season 2026 · Round 14 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
41%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
46%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
73%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
10%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Liga BetPlay 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 41%, BTTS 48%, Over/Under 2.5 46%, Over/Under 3.5 73%, correct score 10%.
Liga BetPlay stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 414 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsDraws aplentyCard-heavy
Goals a match
2.53
46th of 63
xG a match
2.54
54th of 62
Corners a match
8.91
54th of 62
Cards a match
5.79
2nd of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Liga BetPlay: the stats that stand out
The Liga BetPlay teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games1/10Goals at both ends
8/10Junior FC: both teams scored in 8 of their last 10 (league 53%).
Slow starters
2/10Deportivo Pereira scored first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Brick wall
5/10América de Cali kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
Shot-shy
5/10Deportes Tolima failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Goal-fests
7/10Alianza Petrolera games went over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Flop as favourites
3/9Once Caldas won only 3 of 9 as favourites (league 51%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Liga BetPlay Colombia
Free predictions for today's Liga BetPlay matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Jaguares de Córdoba1
Deportes Tolima0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Jaguares de Córdoba1Deportes Tolima0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
136%
X27%
237%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
| 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 67% | 33% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
Boyacá Chicó–
Cúcuta Deportivo–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Boyacá Chicó–Cúcuta Deportivo–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
América de Cali–
Independiente Medellín–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
América de Cali–Independiente Medellín–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Millonarios–
Once Caldas–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Millonarios–Once Caldas–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Boyacá Chicó–
Atlético Nacional–Winner
2 57%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Boyacá Chicó–Atlético Nacional–Winner
2 57%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Millonarios–Jaguares de Córdoba–Winner
1 70%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Millonarios–Jaguares de Córdoba–Winner
1 70%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Independiente Medellín–Once Caldas–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Independiente Medellín–Once Caldas–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Rionegro Águilas–Deportes Tolima–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Rionegro Águilas–Deportes Tolima–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Atlético Bucaramanga–América de Cali–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Atlético Bucaramanga–América de Cali–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Llaneros–
Santa Fe–Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Llaneros–Santa Fe–Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Deportivo Cali–
Junior FC–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Deportivo Cali–Junior FC–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Deportivo Pasto–
Alianza Petrolera–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Deportivo Pasto–Alianza Petrolera–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Deportivo Pereira–Boyacá Chicó–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Deportivo Pereira–Boyacá Chicó–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
La Equidad–
Fortaleza CEIF–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
La Equidad–Fortaleza CEIF–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Cúcuta Deportivo–Atlético Nacional–Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Cúcuta Deportivo–Atlético Nacional–Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Atlético Nacional–Deportivo Pasto–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Atlético Nacional–Deportivo Pasto–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Boyacá Chicó–Atlético Bucaramanga–Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Boyacá Chicó–Atlético Bucaramanga–Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Junior FC–Rionegro Águilas–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Junior FC–Rionegro Águilas–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga BetPlay xG: chances created and allowed
Every Liga BetPlay team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLiga BetPlay average · 1.29 xG, 1.32 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Liga BetPlay Results vs the Odds
Season 2026 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Liga BetPlay this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −15◀ fewer than expected · −15 pts odds expected+15 more ▶+15 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
327 matches
44.6%
Season (327) · 44.6% vs 46.3%
Season
−1.7
±5.1
30 days (54) · 42.6% vs 44.7%
30 days
−2.1
±12.4
Draws
327 matches
31.8%
Season (327) · 31.8% vs 27.1%
Season
+4.7
±4.8
30 days (54) · 31.5% vs 26.3%
30 days
+5.2
±11.7
Away wins
327 matches
23.5%
Season (327) · 23.5% vs 26.5%
Season
−3.0
±4.6
30 days (54) · 25.9% vs 29.0%
30 days
−3.1
±11.5
Over 2.5 goals
327 matches
48.3%
Season (327) · 48.3% vs 44.1%
Season
+4.2
±5.3
30 days (54) · 53.7% vs 47.1%
30 days
+6.6
±13.2
Both teams scored
327 matches
54.4%
Season (327) · 54.4% vs 46.3%More than expected
Season
+8.2
±5.4More than expected
30 days (54) · 55.6% vs 48.5%
30 days
+7.0
±13.3
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
327 matches
24.8%
Season (327) · 24.8% vs 23.5%
Season
+1.3
±4.6
30 days (54) · 31.5% vs 25.9%
30 days
+5.5
±11.6
Home side ahead at half-time
326 matches
32.5%
Season (326) · 32.5% vs 34.5%
Season
−2.0
±5.0
30 days (54) · 27.8% vs 33.9%
30 days
−6.1
±12.2
Level at half-time
326 matches
48.2%
Season (326) · 48.2% vs 43.9%
Season
+4.2
±5.4
30 days (54) · 50.0% vs 42.6%
30 days
+7.4
±13.2
Away side ahead at half-time
326 matches
19.3%
Season (326) · 19.3% vs 21.5%
Season
−2.2
±4.4
30 days (54) · 22.2% vs 23.5%
30 days
−1.3
±11.0
Home team scored 2+
327 matches
45.0%
Season (327) · 45.0% vs 41.4%
Season
+3.5
±5.2
30 days (54) · 46.3% vs 42.0%
30 days
+4.3
±12.6
Away team scored 2+
326 matches
30.1%
Season (326) · 30.1% vs 26.1%
Season
+4.0
±4.6
30 days (54) · 35.2% vs 29.2%
30 days
+6.0
±11.7
Outside the normal range this season: Both teams scored 54.4% vs 46.3% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 340).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 327 | 44.6% | 46.3% | −1.7 | ±5.1 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 54 | 42.6% | 44.7% | −2.1 | ±12.4 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 327 | 31.8% | 27.1% | +4.7 | ±4.8 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 54 | 31.5% | 26.3% | +5.2 | ±11.7 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 327 | 23.5% | 26.5% | −3.0 | ±4.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 54 | 25.9% | 29.0% | −3.1 | ±11.5 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 327 | 48.3% | 44.1% | +4.2 | ±5.3 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 54 | 53.7% | 47.1% | +6.6 | ±13.2 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 327 | 54.4% | 46.3% | +8.2 | ±5.4 | More than expected |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 54 | 55.6% | 48.5% | +7.0 | ±13.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 327 | 24.8% | 23.5% | +1.3 | ±4.6 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 54 | 31.5% | 25.9% | +5.5 | ±11.6 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 326 | 32.5% | 34.5% | −2.0 | ±5.0 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 54 | 27.8% | 33.9% | −6.1 | ±12.2 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 326 | 48.2% | 43.9% | +4.2 | ±5.4 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 54 | 50.0% | 42.6% | +7.4 | ±13.2 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 326 | 19.3% | 21.5% | −2.2 | ±4.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 54 | 22.2% | 23.5% | −1.3 | ±11.0 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 327 | 45.0% | 41.4% | +3.5 | ±5.2 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 54 | 46.3% | 42.0% | +4.3 | ±12.6 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 326 | 30.1% | 26.1% | +4.0 | ±4.6 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 54 | 35.2% | 29.2% | +6.0 | ±11.7 | Normal range |
Liga BetPlay luck check: the last 10 games
Liga BetPlay teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+9.3 = 9 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck5
- Atlético BucaramangaClinical · +9 goals+9.3
Santa Fe+5.3
Deportivo CaliClinical · +4 goals+5.3- América de Cali+4.6
Boyacá ChicóClinical · +4 goals+4.3
Unlucky4
- Junior FC−7.8
Rionegro Águilas−5.9- Once CaldasWasteful · −7 goals−5.1
- Deportes TolimaWasteful · −7 goals−4.2
Points in line, but wasteful: Deportivo Pasto (−4 goals).
In line with their chances: Cúcuta Deportivo, Deportivo Pereira, Atlético Nacional, Jaguares de Córdoba, Alianza Petrolera, Fortaleza CEIF, Llaneros, La Equidad, Independiente Medellín and Millonarios.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Liga BetPlay last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 4–Oct 11 · 9 matches · odds: closing, margin removedCalculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Liga BetPlay Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  América de Cali | 12 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | +17 | W W D L W |
2  Deportivo Cali | 13 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | +11 | D W W W W |
3  Atlético Nacional | 11 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | D W D L W |
4  Atlético Bucaramanga | 11 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | +10 | W W W D W |
5  Millonarios | 14 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | +7 | D D D W W |
Next Round
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
About Liga BetPlay
The league profile compares Liga BetPlay with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
Liga BetPlay is Colombia’s premier football competition, featuring 20 clubs in a split-season format. Known for its intense atmosphere and attacking style, the league has produced stars like James Rodríguez and Radamel Falcao. The top teams qualify for the Copa Libertadores and Copa Sudamericana.