Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2025/2026 (Round 28)
Casa Pia vs Benfica — Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 28 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Benfica+61.1% Strongly above implied probability
Casa Pia-20.8% Below implied probability
┊ 43.7% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Benfica-3.7% Near implied probability
Casa Pia-14.3% Below implied probability
┊ 53.9% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Benfica+17.5% Strongly above implied probability
Casa Pia-21.1% Below implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Benfica+18.9% Strongly above implied probability
Casa Pia+5% Above implied probability
┊ 62.3% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Benfica+53.2% Strongly above implied probability
Casa Pia+49.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.7% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
BenficaCasa PiaOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Casa Pia and Benfica across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Benfica hit at 70% accuracy — that's 61.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Casa Pia sit 21.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Casa Pia vs Benfica Match Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Casa Pia vs Benfica. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 14% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 64% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 64% | 36% | 84% | 16% |
| 1 | 20% | |
| X | 39% | |
| 2 | 42% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9% | 5% | 7% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 39% | 4% | 18% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 13% | 2% |
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 63% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 54% | 46% | 85% | 15% |
 | 17% | 83% | 45% | 55% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| 1 | 14% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 64% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 64% | 36% | 84% | 16% |
| 1 | 20% | |
| X | 39% | |
| 2 | 42% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9% | 5% | 7% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 39% | 4% | 18% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 13% | 2% |
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 63% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 46% | 85% | 15% |
| 17% | 83% | 45% | 55% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Casa Pia vs Benfica — Prediction Form & Streaks
Benfica have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Casa Pia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Benfica well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
BenficaCasa PiaBoth Teams To Score
BenficaCasa PiaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BenficaCasa PiaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BenficaCasa PiaFirst Half Result
BenficaCasa PiaCorrect Score
BenficaCasa PiaCasa Pia & Benfica Teams in Best Form
BenficaCasa Pia