Benfica vs Nacional Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2025/2026 (Round 29)
Benfica vs Nacional — Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 29 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Benfica+58.6% Strongly above implied probability
Nacional+16.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 44.4% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Benfica-3.7% Near implied probability
Nacional-10.8% Below implied probability
┊ 53.9% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Benfica+17.3% Strongly above implied probability
Nacional+31.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Benfica+17.8% Strongly above implied probability
Nacional+23.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62.9% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Benfica+52.4% Strongly above implied probability
Nacional+14.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.9% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
BenficaNacionalOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Benfica and Nacional across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Benfica hit at 70% accuracy — that's 58.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 44.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Nacional sit 10.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Benfica vs Nacional Match Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Benfica vs Nacional. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 71% | |
| X | 19% | |
| 2 | 10% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 80% | 20% |
| 1 | 49% | |
| X | 35% | |
| 2 | 16% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 4% | 19% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 7% | 4% | 5% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 11% | 3% |
| 1 | 67% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 25% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14% | 86% | 40% | 60% |
 | 62% | 38% | 88% | 12% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 84% | 16% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.9% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| 1 | 71% | |
| X | 19% | |
| 2 | 10% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 80% | 20% |
| 1 | 49% | |
| X | 35% | |
| 2 | 16% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 4% | 19% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 7% | 4% | 5% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 11% | 3% |
| 1 | 67% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 25% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 40% | 60% |
| 62% | 38% | 88% | 12% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 84% | 16% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.9% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Benfica vs Nacional — Prediction Form & Streaks
Benfica have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Nacional have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Benfica well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
BenficaNacionalBoth Teams To Score
BenficaNacionalOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BenficaNacionalOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BenficaNacionalFirst Half Result
BenficaNacionalCorrect Score
BenficaNacionalBenfica & Nacional Teams in Best Form
BenficaNacional