Tondela vs Nacional Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2025/2026 (Round 31)
Tondela vs Nacional — Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 31 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Tondela+1.1% Above implied probability
Nacional+22.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Tondela+23.3% Strongly above implied probability
Nacional-14.2% Below implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Tondela+10.4% Strongly above implied probability
Nacional+26.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Tondela+19.5% Strongly above implied probability
Nacional+26.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Tondela+24.9% Strongly above implied probability
Nacional+11.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.5% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
TondelaNacionalOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Tondela and Nacional across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Nacional hit at 79% accuracy — that's 26.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 62%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Nacional sit 14.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Tondela vs Nacional — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Tondela vs Nacional. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 34% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 28% | |
| X | 47% | |
| 2 | 25% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 5% | 14% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 18% | 5% | 13% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 3% |
| 1 | 45% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 44% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
 | 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 34% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 28% | |
| X | 47% | |
| 2 | 25% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 5% | 14% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 18% | 5% | 13% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 3% |
| 1 | 45% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 44% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
| 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Tondela vs Nacional — Prediction Form & Streaks
Tondela have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table. Nacional have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Nacional well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
TondelaNacionalBoth Teams To Score
TondelaNacionalOver/Under 2.5 Goals
TondelaNacionalOver/Under 3.5 Goals
TondelaNacionalFirst Half Result
TondelaNacionalCorrect Score
TondelaNacionalTondela & Nacional Teams in Best Form
TondelaNacional