Vitória Guimarães vs Casa Pia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2025/2026 (Round 33)
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia — Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 33 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
+24.3% Strongly above implied probability
-12.2% Below implied probability
┊ 44.1% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-4.6% Near implied probability
-16.5% Below implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-9.7% Near implied probability
-15.7% Below implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+26.3% Strongly above implied probability
+10.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.3% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
+35.1% Strongly above implied probability
+52.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.2% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Vitória SC and Casa Pia across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Casa Pia hit at 58% accuracy — that's 52.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Casa Pia sit 16.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Vitória SC vs Casa Pia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 58% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
| 1 | 42% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 16% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 5% | 20% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 8% | 5% | 6% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 15% | 4% |
| 1 | 63% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 50% | 50% | |
| 48% | 52% | 81% | 19% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% | |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 58% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
| 1 | 42% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 16% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 5% | 20% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 8% | 5% | 6% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 15% | 4% |
| 1 | 63% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 50% | 50% | |
| 48% | 52% | 81% | 19% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% | |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia — Prediction Form & Streaks
Vitória SC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Casa Pia have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Vitória SC well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.