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Sporting CP vs Vitória SC 3-2 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Sporting CP3–2
Vitória SCOn these chances Sporting CP would usually take 0.8 points and Vitória SC 1.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sporting CP.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sporting CP vs Vitória SC stats: how the match was played
Liga Portugal
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
3
Shots on target
3
2
Big chances
3
5
Corners
1
4
Yellow cards
4
56%
Possession
44%
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Portugal
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sporting CP to win
CorrectOur track record
In 325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Sporting CP ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Sporting CP 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Vitória SC 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sporting CP vs Vitória SC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Sporting CP3
Vitória SC2Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Sporting CP3Vitória SC2Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 89% | 33% | 67% |
| 58% | 42% | 85% | 15% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59% | 41% | 78% | 22% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
48%
X-1
20%
X-X
10%
2-2
5%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-1
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score