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Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP

Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Sporting Braga

1–3

Sporting CP

1.6Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Sporting Braga would usually take 1.8 points and Sporting CP 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sporting CP.

Sporting Braga −1.8 pts vs chancesSporting CP +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP stats: how the match was played

Liga Portugal

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sporting Braga

Sporting CP

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Sporting Braga and Sporting CP ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Sporting CP win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting Braga – Gil Vicente prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Portugal

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP to win

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,631 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,341 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Sporting Braga Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Braga 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Sporting CP Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Sporting Braga1

Sporting CP3

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Sporting Braga1

Sporting CP3

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

128%

X29%

242%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	56%	44%	67%	33%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	38%	62%	73%	27%	91%	9%	97%	3%
	28%	72%	61%	39%	84%	16%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	38%	62%	73%	27%
	28%	72%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	91%	9%	97%	3%
	84%	16%	94%	6%

1st Half

125%

X45%

230%

1st Score

145%

X10%

245%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

X-X

18%

1-1

16%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

0-1

11.3%

0-0

9.8%

1-0

9.5%

1-2

8.6%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

6.8%

2-2

4.8%

2-0

4.7%

1-3

3.7%

0-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP — Recent Form

Sporting CP have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Sporting Braga have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sporting CP

Sporting Braga

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sporting CP

3/5

Sporting Braga

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Sporting CP

2/5

Sporting Braga

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sporting CP

2/5

Sporting Braga

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sporting CP

2/5

Sporting Braga

4/5

First Half Result

Sporting CP

4/5

Sporting Braga

2/5

Correct Score

Sporting CP

0/5

Sporting Braga

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting Braga – Gil Vicente prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).