Famalicão vs Alverca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Famalicão vs Alverca — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Portugal
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Famalicão to win
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 6,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,784 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,445 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 3,847 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.4%).
Our model’s pick
Famalicão 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,069 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Alverca 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Famalicão vs Alverca — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Famalicão vs Alverca. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Famalicão–
Alverca–Winner
1X 77%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Famalicão–Alverca–Winner
1X 77%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 56% | 44% |
 | 43% | 57% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-X
19%
X-1
18%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Famalicão vs Alverca — Recent Form
Alverca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Famalicão have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
AlvercaFamalicãoOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FamalicãoAlvercaBoth Teams to Score
FamalicãoAlvercaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FamalicãoAlvercaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FamalicãoAlvercaFirst Half Result
FamalicãoAlvercaCorrect Score
FamalicãoAlverca